The Stock Market Will Make a Big Move in 2026 if History Repeats Itself, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell Has a Warning for Investors

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has not only rebounded from the crash caused by tariffs earlier this year, but has also added 14% since January. The index is now on track to achieve double-digit returns for the third straight year, something that has only happened five times since it was created in 1957.

There is good news and bad news on that front. The Federal Reserve recently began cutting interest rates after a lengthy pause. That has historically signaled substantial upside in the stock market over the next year. But Fed chair Jerome Powell recently warned investors that stocks are rather richly valued.

Here are the important details.

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